Showing posts with label Week 12. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Week 12. Show all posts

Monday, November 25, 2013

Raiders Recap-- Week 12: Titans

After another home loss to a beatable team, plenty of blame is left to pass around.

Janikowski is as dumbfounded as the rest of Raider Nation

What is going on with SeaBass?

That is the first question Oakland fans are left to ask after watching their team blow a late lead to the visiting Titans. Kicker Sebastian Janikowski missed two field goals on the day-- a 32- and a 48-yarder-- and the Raiders lost by 4 after allowing a late-TD pass with 10 seconds to go.

The loss is especially frustrating for a number of reasons. By the time the game started, most of the early games had ended, and the Raiders were well aware of the implications of the outcome of their game: the winner would move into 6th place-- via tiebreaker-- and seize the last remaining AFC playoff spot.

Tennessee knew it as well as Oakland did, and when the cards were down, one team simply wanted it more.

"That would have been a big, big loss for us in terms of what the rest of the season was going to look like," Titans QB Ryan Fitzpatrick said. The second-stringer was starting in just his second game for Tennessee, but was able to deliver the victory on his 31st birthday.

Fitzpatrick found his team down by 3 with 80 yards to go and 6 minutes on the clock. "We knew this was a 'gotta-have-it' drive at the end of the game and the guys really stepped up," he said. He found WR Kendall Wright on a 3rd and goal from the 10 for the go-ahead score with only 10 seconds left in the ballgame.

The loss dropped the Raiders to a meager 3-3 at home, but was their third home-loss to a team with a losing record. Previously they lost by 10 to an 0-3 Washington team, and of course there was the blowout to the New Slim Shady and the 3-5 Eagles. The loss to the 4-6 Titans team continued the disturbing trend.

Oakland has also dropped away games to losing teams this season. However, for a team that has been abysmal on the road (2-11 under Coach Dennis Allen in his two seasons; Hue Jackson went 5-3) home games provide a much-needed opportunity to win. Thus far, the Raiders have failed to take advantage of it.

(larrybrownsports.com)


QB Matt McGloin, also in his second start, threw for 260 yards, a touchdown, and a pic, but was unable to convert on crucial possessions throughout the game. The Raiders were 3-10 on 3rd down, and though they punted only twice on the day, they saw many drives stall and were forced to settle for field goal attempts. For the first time in a long time, these attempts are no longer "gimmes", further magnifying the importance of 3rd down conversions and of putting the ball in the endzone.

McGloin did lead a touchdown drive on what would be team's only real possession of the fourth quarter (the other came with under 10 seconds to go). The rookie completed 4 of 4 passes for 74 of the drive's 75 yards, including a 27-yard touchdown strike to Marcel Reece, and put his team up 3 points with 6 minutes to go. But the defense was unable to get the stop to secure the game for Oakland.

For the fourth time this season, the Raiders defense failed to force a single turnover. Of late, the offense has been highly dependent on the defense to create scoring opportunities, and over a quarter of Oakland's total points have come off turnovers. However, the loss was less about an inability to intercept the surgical Peyton Manning Ryan Fitzpatrick and more about the inability to get stops when they were needed, by any means necessary.

Oakland's defense surrendered 10 of 18 3rd down conversions and allowed the Titans to convert all three attempts on the game's final drive. Tennessee was able to sustain three separate drives of over 6 minutes, and held the ball for a whopping 12:08 of the game's final 15 minutes, while Oakland's longest drive took 4:44 off the clock and resulted in a missed FG. And on the first drive of the third quarter, a critical opportunity to gain momentum and dictate the final half of football, the Raiders blew a coverage and surrendered a 54-yard TD pass.

Torched by a QB that was cut from the Bills (Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images)
So at the end of the day, many fans were left fuming, and for good reason.

Despite the season's miscues, the Raiders found themselves in a position to take command of a wildcard spot, but it seems like the whispers of "playoffs" function only as a curse, and they fell from potentially 6th to 12th in the AFC with the loss.

The defense continues to be plagued by big plays and by an inability to get much-needed stops. Somehow they pulled it off last week in Houston, but I'm not convinced. If Andre Johnson did not stop on his route, and was in position to even contend for the game-winning catch with Usama Young, well, you tell me who you think comes down with that ball.

The once reliable kicker is suffering the worst stretch of his storied career, and has missed more FGs this year than the past 2 combined.

Lastly, an inability to extend drives, coupled with an over-reliance on the kicking game, is not a formula for success, especially when that kicking game becomes inexplicably erratic. You cannot beat good teams without scoring touchdowns.

But the most frustrating part is that, this season, they cannot beat the bad teams, either.

Saturday, November 23, 2013

Week Twelve Pick-Em

The 2nd best corner in football (Marc Serota/Getty Images)
Last week: 10-4.

Pittsburgh at CLEVELAND


The Steelers have won two in a row and rallied into the AFC wildcard race,  thanks to a resurgent Big Ben and a top-ten passing game. Unfortunately, they will face Joe Hayden and a Browns defense that has held opponents to 207.5 yards-per-game-- 4th in the league. I expect the Browns to grind out a win at home in a game where points come at a premium.

Tampa Bay at DETROIT


After an embarrassing collapse last week, I expect the Lions to rebound against a the Bucs, despite the fact that the former winless team has won two straight. Expect much action through the air as both teams target their go-to receivers: Detroit's Calvin Johnson and Tampa's Vincent Jackson. Both teams also feature solid rushing attacks, which should open up the passing game anymore. The bombs will fall in this game, but when the dust settles, I'm picking the Lions to emerge as the victors.

Minnesota at GREEN BAY


The combined factors of an unhealthy AP and a Green Bay team absolutely desperate for a win push me toward the Packers to win this one. Tolzein threw the ball well last week, and Minnesota, despite the presence of Jared Allen, is only mediocre against the run, so Green Bay should have no trouble moving the ball down the field. On the flip side, AP and his injured groin will hamper an offense that has been lackluster all season anyway.

SAN DIEGO at Kansas City


This week's upset special! If you know the Chargers like I do, you know they are just as likely to beat the top-seed as they are to lose to the most dysfunctional franchise in football (Miami), which they did last week. By that logic, or lack thereof,  I am choosing them to go into KC and beat the Chiefs in their own territory. Last week's loss against Denver didn't expose as much as reemphasize the lack of offensive firepower of Alex Smith and the Chiefs, and I foresee a San Diego defense that rises to the challenge on Sunday.

Despite all common sense, I'm betting on Phillip Rivers (Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)

CHICAGO at St. Louis


I'm conducting the Josh McCown train myself, and I'm expecting the Bears to win on the road this week to maintain possession of first place in the NFC North. (They won't start to blow it until Cutler returns.) St. Louis has played surprisingly well from time to time, but I still have no faith in their ability to play consistent, and therefore I am going with the hot hand from the Windy City.

CAROLINA at Miami


I love the Panthers, and I love that they beat my most hated teams in back-to-back weeks. I almost picked them to get upset this week, as I think the attention they have gotten this week might be too much for a young, inexperienced team. However, I'm still taking them to win because of one thing: defense. Their defense has simply been playing too well to go against, especially against a Miami offense that has struggled to find an identity all season long. It doesn't matter how well Cam plays, Carolina will leave Florida with its 7th straight win.

NEW YORK JETS at Baltimore


The logic here: The Jets got destroyed last week, so the pattern dictates that they rebound this week. It's as easy as that. Also, I do not know what is going on in Baltimore, but I do not think they know either. This game also earns the nomination for "least interesting game of the week", despite the fact that the Jets, with a loss, would lose their grip on the AFC wildcard spot and open it up to about 8 different teams. Somehow, someway, I see Rex Ryan's team earning the W.

Jacksonville at HOUSTON


C'mon Houston. You cannot possibly lose 9 straight games, can you? Kubiak learned from his (inexplicable) mistake last week and will stick with Keenum in this game to earn the W against the league's worst team. Sidenote: the Texans actually have the league's best pass defense-- not that it matters against a team starting Chad Henne at QB.

(AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)

Tennessee at OAKLAND


I expect Matt McGloin to look sharp from the pocket again, though I am tapering my expectations a little, as last week he was nearly flawless, statistically speaking. I also think that Oakland's running game, led by future RB Rashad Jennings, and an increasingly healthy O-Line, will look sharp against a team with a rush defense ranked in the bottom half of the league. Backup QB Ryan Fitzpatrick will struggle against a Raiders' defense invigorated by the Black Hole and motivated to redeem themselves after a most embarrassing outing in the last home game against the New Slim Shady and the Philadelphia Eagles.


Indianapolis at ARIZONA


You might call this an upset, but I see it as an underrated team beating an overrated team at home. Consider this: Trent Richardson has not rushed for over 60 yards once this season, and is also questionable for the match. Meanwhile, Arizona has the 2nd ranked rush defense in the league. Expect Andrew Luck to put the ball up many times this game. With Hilton covered, that leaves only the shaky hands of Darrius Heyward-Bey on the receiving end... and a host of Arizona defenders.

Dallas at NEW YORK GIANTS


How can you realistically pick Dallas anymore? They have let first place slip through their fingers yet again. The Giants (formerly 0-6) have won 4 straight and are starting to play well at the right time, while Dallas looks headed in the other direction. I'm predicting at least one Dez Bryant tantrum and several shots of an exasperated Jerry Jones in the booth to go with the Dallas loss.

Denver at NEW ENGLAND

*Sunday Night*

Peyton Manning's ankle, and the large concern with it, has shifted to the background after the Broncos beat the Chiefs. I have no idea why, as he looked noticeably incapable during the game and only stands to injure it worse as he continues to play on it. And we all know that Brady and Belichick are furious after being robbed of a chance to win last week. I'm anticipating a shootout in which Brady gets the best of Manning yet again.

SAN FRANCISCO at Washington

*Monday Night*

The rebound theory applies here as well, although the 49ers should not need any extra motivation to beat the lowly Washington team. RG3 and Kaepernick, despite their dazzling outbreaks last season, have both played poorly at times this season. San Francisco enjoys the benefit of one of the league's best defenses-- one that RG3 will become acquainted with multiple times on Monday night-- and will enjoy their long flight home from the east coast after winning this game.

The worst is yet to come (Rob Carr/Getty Images)

On the Bye:


Buffalo, Cincinnati, Philadelphia, Seattle

Am I crazy to pick San Diego? Will RG3 out-duel Kaepernick? Does ANYONE have faith in the Cowboys? Comment below!